According to Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, American
Association of Individual Investors (AAII) is a nonprofit organization whose
purpose is to educate individual investors regarding stock market portfolio,
financial planning, and retirement accounts.
AAII’s Sentiment Survey, which is surveyed on its members’ view
(bullish, bearish or neural) opinion where the general market will be at. It is
released weekly. This reading is treated as one of the best of contrarian
indicators. It is similar to the technical indicator ISE Sentiment Index (ISEE)
which is measured on the retail investors, and is considered as a contrarian
indicator.
The above figure shows 45% of AAII’s members present bullish view
of the stock market in the six month. On the other hand, 29% members reveal
bearish view.
According to my trading log, bullish sentiment greater than 45% is
treated as a high reading. It might foreshadow a temporary reversal. Especially
it had reading as 45% last week as well. However, we need to combine AAII
sentiment survey with other technical indicators to better gauge the market
movement.
Thanks for your visiting and reading. If you want to know more
about ISE Sentiment Index (ISEE), you can visit:
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Source: http://www.aaii.com/
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