Many factors may impact
on gold price. Gold may not move in the same direction with the general market.
To make your trade more successful, you can trade ETFs which minor the general
market, or do more research on gold.
Investors need some
extended knowledge on and special attention to the specific sector ETFs, such
as gold ETFs. Investors need to
comprehend the correlation between gold and bond markets, functions in the gold
standard, safe havens when war or disaster occurs, its usage in industry, gold
price correlated with QE, etc.
For example, on
8/27/2013, the stock market slumped on the news that the West might strike
Syria. However, gold futures gained 1.6% and continued to work as safe havens
during world chaos or traumatic current events.
This geopolitical uncertainty pushed gold to a 15-week high. On the
other hand, on 9/10/2013, Syria might hand over the chemical weapons, the fear
and worries of war diminished, gold price dropped significantly.
Gold price sometimes
does not move in the same direction with the general market. ETF GLD mirrors
the price of gold bullion. GLD dropped
from a high in October 2012. However, the general market got big boosts since
then. There was more than a 40% spread
between GLD and the S&P during October 2012 and June 2013. The gold price recovered a little bit after
the Fed affirmed that there was no pre-set date to taper bond purchasing.
Instead, the economic condition, especially unemployment rate, will be closely
watched and an intelligent decision will be made based on it.
If investors would like to trade
some ETFs in certain sectors or categories, but the expertise which is needed
is beyond their reach, ETFs that track or mirror the general stock market might
be better choice. If you really need to trade on gold, you might want to follow
the advice from the Smart Money.
For example, on
12/5/2012, Goldman Sachs said that gold had reached its peak and the real rate
would rise.
The ETF GLD,
made record highs in October 2012. On 12/5/2012, Goldman Sachs declared that
gold had seen its highest level. ETF GLD
was closed at 163 that day. It went up a little bit before it drifted all the
way down until 6/27/2013. The closing price was 115 and the bleeding finally
stopped. This was equivalent to a 29%
drop.
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