We often heard of moving averages when we are talking about the stock market. What are moving averages?
Moving averages are used to the historical price
data from a security to detect a upward or downward trend. Since their
calculation is based on past data, they carries lag factor. Therefore, moving
averages do not have predictive power.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential
Moving Average (EMA) are the most well-known. The most common numbers of periods for moving
averages are 5, 20, 50, and 200. Traders
and investors can choose the different numbers of periods based on their
investment goals and trading patterns. Long-term inverstors tend to use the
larger number of periods, likewise.
When the simple moving averages are calculated,
each day’s price carries the same weight in the formula. However, the more
weight is applied to recent prices when exponential moving averages are
computed.
The following chart shows the 20-day simple
moving averages and 20-day exponential moving averages for Dow Jones Industrial
Average.
Source: Line Graph outline
from StockCharts.com. Actual data
compiled by blogger.
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