Tuesday, September 17, 2013

What are the Average lengths of Bull Markets and Bear Markets



Figure 1 provides the average length of bull markets since the year 1929 is 30 months.  However, some bull markets in recent decades have been extremely lengthy. For example, one occurred between year 2002 and year 2007. Another one extended from year 1987 until year 2000, which made the record of 149 months!  Analysts often use historical data, and try to estimate the duration of the current bull market.  It is understandable that we are incessantly receiving mixed information from Wall Street regarding the ending of this current bull market.         
 




Figure 1 : Bull History from 1929 to 2013. 
 
Figure 1 and figure 2 indicate that the average bull market length is approximately 3 times that of bear market lengths.  That is one of the reasons that people tend to have bullish sentiments.  The most recent bull market lasted more than 50 months. We’ll see if this present market today still has reason or momentum to keep climbing.


                          Figure 2 : Bear History from 1929 to 2009. 
 
 Thanks for your visiting and reading!
 
 

 

 

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