Figure 1 provides the average length
of bull markets since the year 1929 is 30 months. However, some bull markets in recent decades
have been extremely lengthy. For example, one occurred between year 2002 and
year 2007. Another one extended from year 1987 until year 2000, which made the
record of 149 months! Analysts often use
historical data, and try to estimate the duration of the current bull
market. It is understandable that we are
incessantly receiving mixed information from Wall Street regarding the ending
of this current bull market.
Figure 1 : Bull History
from 1929 to 2013.
Figure 1 and figure 2 indicate that the
average bull market length is approximately 3 times that of bear market
lengths. That is one of the reasons that
people tend to have bullish sentiments.
The most recent bull market lasted more than 50 months. We’ll see if
this present market today still has reason or momentum to keep climbing.
Figure 2 : Bear History from 1929 to 2009.
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