Chart 1 demonstrates
the RSI (5) for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index from 7/27/2012 to
7/26/2013. It shows that when the stock
market went up, the RSI rose accordingly. No matter how strong the market was,
and how long the RSI stayed in the overbought status, the market eventually
took a breath, and experienced profit taking. Then, the RSI swung or approached
to an oversold territory.
Chart 1 RSI
(5) for Dow Jones Industrial Average Index from 7/27/2012 to 7/26/2013.
Source: Line Graph Outline form
StockCharts.com. Actual data compiled by
Authors.
If you always buy at
oversold and sell at overbought, you will certainly make money in an uptrend or
range-bound market. On the other hand,
if you sell or short at overbought, and buy at oversold conditions, you will be
a winner in a downtrend stock market.
Chart 2: RSI
(14) for Dow Jones Industrial Average Index from 7/27/2012 to 7/26/2013.
Source: Line Graph Outline form
StockCharts.com. Actual data compiled by
Authors.
Comparing chart 2 with chart 1, chart 1 is for the RSI with 5 as the
look-back period, while chart 2 keeps the default look-back period 14. It is
obvious that the RSI (5) has larger scales of up and down movement, and is
easier to swing between overbought and oversold conditions. Thus, chart 1 shows
more sensitivity, since the look-back period has been shortened. The lower the look-back days, the higher
sensitivity the RSI tends to have and the easier the RSI is able to reach the
extremes (either overbought or oversold). On the other hand, the cycles and
extremes are more insightful for RSI with shorter look-back days
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:relative_strength_index_rsi Relative Strength Index (RSI).
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