Yesterday, the
stock market skyrocketed, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P
500 recorded fresh new highs after the Federal Reserve provided a pleasant
surprise by keeping the asset purchasing program intact. Why the stock market
was thrilled about this decision?
QE has
been used by central banks to inject liquidity into the economy and stimulate
the economy. The Federal Reserve Bank first launched QE 1 in November 2008, and
ended it in March 2010. Then QE2 lasted
from November 2010, to June 2011. QE3 was announced on September 13, 2012 to
purchase $40 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities per month. On
September 21, 2011, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced the
implementation of Operation Twist. Lastly, on December 12, 2012 the QE4 was
declared to increase the bond purchasing amount from $40 billion to $85
billion. The Fed pledged to maintain the QE program until the labor market was
improved significantly (6.5% unemployment rate as a benchmark). Thus, it is
called QE Infinity. The market had the
best performance of the last 65 years since the QE was implemented in late 2008.
The
following table outlines a summary for
S&P movement during the QE1 through QE4.
Time
Line
|
S&P
Starts
|
S&P
Ends
|
Amount
|
Percentage
|
|
QE1
|
November
2008-March 2010
|
966
|
1,169
|
203
|
21%
|
QE2
|
November
2010-June 2011
|
1,184
|
1,320
|
136
|
11%
|
QE3,
QE4
|
September
13 2012-
|
1,436
|
1,725
|
289
|
20%
|
Figure 2.1: Performance of the S&P for QE1 through QE4.
S&P data comes from Yahoo Finance historical prices
Note: The data for QE3, and QE4 is based on the data from 9/13/2012 to 9/18/2013.
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reading.
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